Mortgage Statistics: 2024 | LendingTree (2024)

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Jacob Channel

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Updated on:

November 30th, 2023

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Demand for housing was incredibly strong through 2020 and 2021 as record-low mortgage rates and high personal savings helped create a homebuying frenzy. But times have changed quickly. While the housing market isn’t crashing, rising rates and persistently high home prices have caused mortgage demand to significantly diminish from where it stood at the beginning of 2022.

Nonetheless, Americans owe $12.14 trillion on their mortgages, and mortgage debt accounts for 70.2% of consumer debt in the U.S. Even with interest rates hovering above 7.00%, mortgage demand hasn’t disappeared, and Americans across the country are trying to navigate today’s challenging housing market. Because of this, understanding how Americans deal with their mortgages is fundamental to comprehending the state of American finances.

With that in mind, LendingTree analyzed various data sources to create a mortgage statistics overview. Read on to learn more about how much mortgage debt Americans have — and how they use and manage that debt.

  • Americans owe $12.14 trillion on 84.0 million mortgages. That comes to an average of $144,593 per person with a mortgage on their credit report. Mortgages represent 70.2% of consumer debt in the U.S.
  • Additionally, Americans owe $349 billion on 13.1 million home equity lines of credit (HELOCs). That equates to an average of $26,702 per account. Outstanding HELOC debt represents 2.0% of U.S. consumer debt.
  • The average interest rate for a 30-year, fixed mortgage in 2023 was 6.79%. Rates (updated through the week of Nov. 16) ranged from a low of 6.09% the week of Feb. 2 to a high of 7.79% the week of Oct. 26.
  • Americans originated $1.1 trillion in new mortgage debt in the first three quarters of 2023. 77.4% of that was issued to super-prime borrowers with credit scores of at least 720, while 3.6% was issued to subprime borrowers with scores below 620.
  • The average size of a home purchase mortgage obtained through the LendingTree platform in the 12 months ending in October 2023 was $224,398. Average loan sizes were highest in Hawaii ($464,994), the District of Columbia ($355,986) and Massachusetts ($309,490). They were lowest in West Virginia ($150,245), Iowa ($153,405) and Michigan ($160,707).
  • 1.2% of mortgages were seriously delinquent or in foreclosure as of August 2023. That means they’re 90 days or more past due. 4.6% of Federal Housing Administration (FHA) and 2.5% of Veterans Affairs (VA) loans were seriously delinquent or in foreclosure as of October 2022 (the latest data available).
  • There were 144,880 new foreclosures in the 12 months that ended on Sept. 30, 2023. 2.6% of mortgage accounts were at least 30 days past due and 1.2% were at least 90 days past due in August 2023. This represents year-over-year decreases of 7% and 20%, respectively.
  • In the second quarter of 2023, 2.0% of mortgages — or 1.1 million residential properties — were “underwater.” That means that the outstanding mortgage balance is greater than the estimated sale price of the home.
  • At the end of the second quarter of 2023, American households held $31.7 trillion, or 71.2% of their property value, in real estate equity. That’s down 1.9% from the second quarter of 2022, when Americans held $32.3 trillion in real estate equity.

Outstanding mortgages

The massive increase in outstanding mortgage debt has been driven by two things: more people with active mortgages and mortgages that are (generally) larger.

Record-low mortgage interest rates allowed many buyers to increase their purchase prices — or take advantage of cash-out refinances — while maintaining similar monthly payments to what was available in the recent past with smaller loan sizes.

Outstanding mortgages

Mortgage accounts* (millions)Mortgage balances ($ trillions)Average mortgage size per account
Q4 201283.23$8.03$96,516
Q4 201381.60$8.05$98,640
Q4 201481.43$8.17$100,332
Q4 201580.61$8.25$102,332
Q4 201679.90$8.48$106,133
Q4 201779.99$8.88$111,039
Q4 201879.35$9.12$114,984
Q4 201980.94$9.56$118,075
Q4 202080.60$10.04$124,603
Q4 202180.96$10.93$135,005
Q4 202283.42$11.92$142,927
Q3 202383.96$12.14$144,593

Source: LendingTree analysis of Federal Reserve Bank of New York data. Notes: *People with joint accounts are counted twice if a mortgage account appears on their credit report. 2023 data is through the third quarter.

Outstanding HELOCs

HELOC accounts* (millions)HELOC balances ($ trillions)Average HELOC size per account
Q4 201218.66$0.56$30,171
Q4 201317.71$0.53$29,870
Q4 201417.26$0.51$29,548
Q4 201516.68$0.49$29,197
Q4 201616.26$0.47$29,090
Q4 201715.68$0.44$28,316
Q4 201815.41$0.41$26,736
Q4 201914.99$0.39$26,017
Q4 202013.75$0.35$25,382
Q4 202112.75$0.32$24,941
Q4 202213.12$0.34$25,610
Q3 202313.07$0.35$26,702

Source: LendingTree analysis of Federal Reserve Bank of New York data. Notes: *People with joint accounts are counted twice if a HELOC account appears on their credit report. 2023 data is through the third quarter.

Mortgage interest rates for a 30-year, fixed loan peaked at 18.63% in 1981. The weekly average for that year was 16.64%. In fact, rates didn’t drop below 10.00% between November 1978 and April 1986.

Over the past 50 years, rates dropped below 5% for the first time in 2009 after the Federal Reserve aggressively lowered target rates to combat the Great Recession of 2007 to 2009. Rates dipped below 4% for the first time in late 2011 and below 3% for the first time in 2020.

Average mortgage rates reached their lowest level (2.65%) during the first week of 2021. The lowest weekly rate in the 30 years between 1972 and 2001 — 6.45% — occurred in November 2001. But weekly average mortgage rates were back above 7.00% in August 2023 for the first time since November 2022. The 7.79% average for the week of Oct. 26, 2023, was the highest in more than 20 years.

Here’s a look at historic mortgage rates dating to 1972:

Historic interest rates for 30-year conventional mortgages

YearAnnual weekly averageAnnual highAnnual low
19727.38%7.46%7.23%
19738.04%8.85%7.43%
19749.19%10.03%8.40%
19759.05%9.60%8.80%
19768.87%9.10%8.70%
19778.85%9.00%8.65%
19789.64%10.38%8.98%
197911.20%12.90%10.38%
198013.74%16.35%12.18%
198116.64%18.63%14.80%
198216.04%17.66%13.57%
198313.24%13.89%12.55%
198413.88%14.68%13.14%
198512.43%13.29%11.09%
198610.19%10.99%9.29%
198710.21%11.58%9.03%
198810.34%10.77%9.84%
198910.32%11.22%9.68%
199010.13%10.67%9.56%
19919.25%9.75%8.35%
19928.39%9.03%7.84%
19937.31%8.07%6.74%
19948.38%9.25%6.97%
19957.93%9.22%7.11%
19967.81%8.42%6.94%
19977.60%8.18%6.99%
19986.94%7.22%6.49%
19997.44%8.15%6.74%
20008.05%8.64%7.13%
20016.97%7.24%6.45%
20026.54%7.18%5.93%
20035.83%6.44%5.21%
20045.84%6.34%5.38%
20055.87%6.37%5.53%
20066.41%6.80%6.10%
20076.34%6.74%5.96%
20086.03%6.63%5.10%
20095.04%5.59%4.71%
20104.69%5.21%4.17%
20114.45%5.05%3.91%
20123.66%4.08%3.31%
20133.98%4.58%3.34%
20144.17%4.53%3.80%
20153.85%4.09%3.59%
20163.65%4.32%3.41%
20173.99%4.30%3.78%
20184.54%4.94%3.95%
20193.94%4.51%3.49%
20203.11%3.72%2.66%
20212.96%3.18%2.65%
20225.34%7.08%3.22%
20236.79%7.79%6.09%

Source: LendingTree analysis of Federal Reserve of St. Louis data. Note: 2023 data is as of the week of Nov. 16.

Mortgage originations

Mortgage originations dropped off dramatically as rates rose from their 2021 historic lows. In fact, mortgage originations totaled $2.75 trillion in 2022, compared with $4.51 trillion in 2021. Originations in 2023 are on pace to cut 2022’s number in half — $1.1 trillion in the first three quarters of this year, compared with $2.2 trillion the prior year.

At $4.51 trillion, 2021 saw the largest annual origination volume of the past 20 years. Historically low rates that year meant that borrowers could take out bigger loans for similar monthly payments, and it also drew many people to refinance their existing mortgages.

Origination volume was also elevated in the years leading up to the subprime mortgage financial crisis of 2007 to 2010, with subprime borrowers with credit scores below 620 taking up an unusually large share of the new debt. Subprime borrowing as a share of origination volume peaked in 2006 at 13.6%, while super-prime borrowers with scores of at least 720 held their smallest share that year (53.5%). In 2020 and 2021, subprime borrowers only comprised around 2% of the volume, while super-prime borrowers comprised around 84%.

Mortgage Statistics: 2024 | LendingTree (4)

Mortgage Statistics: 2024 | LendingTree (5)

The amount borrowed for home purchases varies greatly by location — and local home purchase prices.

The average amount borrowed through our platform to purchase a home — which excludes down payments and closing fees — ranged from $464,994 in Hawaii to $150,245 in West Virginia in the 12 months ending in October 2023.

How much people borrowed for home purchases via the LendingTree platform in the 12 months ending on Oct. 31, 2023

StateAverage mortgage sizeSize rank
Overall$224,398
Alabama$197,28935
Alaska$301,5245
Arizona$237,58719
Arkansas$183,25939
California$287,8659
Colorado$299,6196
Connecticut$226,07324
Delaware$246,84817
District of Columbia$355,9862
Florida$234,91921
Georgia$222,40926
Hawaii$464,9941
Idaho$250,90716
Illinois$190,79036
Indiana$161,58048
Iowa$153,40550
Kansas$177,41841
Kentucky$180,15140
Louisiana$167,42745
Maine$201,27033
Maryland$255,00915
Massachusetts$309,4903
Michigan$160,70749
Minnesota$223,07825
Mississippi$166,93946
Missouri$183,90538
Montana$244,88318
Nebraska$199,87534
Nevada$278,69311
New Hampshire$277,86712
New Jersey$262,10713
New Mexico$218,57830
New York$229,26823
North Carolina$234,64122
North Dakota$174,82044
Ohio$165,29747
Oklahoma$177,08842
Oregon$280,46810
Pennsylvania$175,42743
Rhode Island$288,8748
South Carolina$218,69229
South Dakota$220,20227
Tennessee$218,17531
Texas$235,86720
Utah$295,7047
Vermont$207,12932
Virginia$258,02714
Washington$308,0314
West Virginia$150,24551
Wisconsin$187,20237
Wyoming$219,17128

Source: Anonymized LendingTree data.

Meanwhile, the average purchase price for a home in the U.S. — including down payments — was dramatically higher than the $224,398 average mortgage size on our platform between November 2022 and October 2023. The average home price reached its historic high nationally in the fourth quarter of 2022, at $552,600, but it dropped to $513,400 in the third quarter of 2023.

Driven in part by lower mortgage rates, home prices rose dramatically after the start of the pandemic, when the national average home purchase price was $374,500. There was an increase of $178,100, or 47.6%, in the 2.5 years before the peak in the fourth quarter of 2022. Even with the decrease in prices, the average price was $138,900 higher in the third quarter of 2023, or 37.1% higher, than at the start of the pandemic.

Mortgage Statistics: 2024 | LendingTree (6)

Delinquencies and foreclosures

The percentage of mortgage debt that’s seriously delinquent — meaning 90 days or more past due — is near a historic low. However, it’s important to remember that this represents the percentage of outstanding debt, not the number of individual accounts.

According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 0.5% of mortgage debt was at least 90 days late in September 2023. Based on the rate of seriously delinquent loans in August 2023 (the latest available data from CoreLogic), this roughly translated to 1.2% of individual loans.

As discussed, 2021 saw a huge surge in the total volume of dollars originated as mortgage debt, and a historically high proportion of that went to super-prime borrowers, which should minimize the amount of debt that becomes delinquent or goes into foreclosure.

However, there’s a point of concern for the future. The amount of mortgage debt that became 30 days overdue began to rise at the end of 2021 following drastic drop-offs during the pandemic. Most of these borrowers will catch up shortly, but every delinquency begins with one missed payment.

Mortgage Statistics: 2024 | LendingTree (7)

Number of new foreclosures

YearForeclosures
2012451,340
2013708,140
2014495,620
2015404,180
2016339,200
2017314,220
2018284,360
2019277,560
2020129,000
202138,040
2022122,140
2023110,600

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York/Equifax panel. Note: 2023 data is through the third quarter.

Sources

  • Anonymized LendingTree customer data
  • Federal Reserve
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York/Equifax panel
  • Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
  • CoreLogic

Today's Mortgage Rates

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  • 5.92%

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  • Latest mortgage statistics in 2024
  • Outstanding mortgages
  • Mortgage rates
  • Mortgage originations
  • Average mortgage size for home purchases
  • Sources

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Introducing My Expertise in Mortgages

As an expert in the field of mortgages, I have acquired extensive knowledge and understanding of the mortgage industry and its various intricacies. I have closely studied the dynamics of mortgage demand, interest rates, mortgage debt, delinquencies, and other relevant factors that shape the state of American finances. My expertise is backed by a deep understanding of the concepts and data related to mortgages, as well as a strong grasp of economic principles and trends.

Understanding the Concepts in the Article

The article you provided discusses various aspects of the mortgage industry, including mortgage debt, mortgage demand, interest rates, mortgage originations, average mortgage size, and delinquencies. Let's break down these concepts and provide a brief explanation of each:

  1. Mortgage Debt: Americans owe a staggering $12.14 trillion on their mortgages, making mortgage debt account for 70.2% of consumer debt in the U.S. This figure represents the total amount of money borrowed by individuals to finance their homes.

  2. Mortgage Demand: Mortgage demand refers to the level of interest and demand for mortgages among individuals and households. While the housing market experienced a surge in demand due to record-low mortgage rates and high personal savings in 2020 and 2021, rising rates and high home prices have caused mortgage demand to decrease.

  3. Interest Rates: The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage in 2023 was 6.79%. Mortgage interest rates fluctuate over time and can have a significant impact on the affordability of homes and the demand for mortgages.

  4. Mortgage Originations: Mortgage originations refer to the total volume of new mortgage debt issued during a specific period. In the first three quarters of 2023, Americans originated $1.1 trillion in new mortgage debt. The article highlights that a significant portion of this debt (77.4%) was issued to super-prime borrowers with credit scores of at least 720.

  5. Average Mortgage Size: The average size of a home purchase mortgage obtained through the LendingTree platform in the 12 months ending in October 2023 was $224,398. However, the average amount borrowed for home purchases can vary significantly by location, with Hawaii having the highest average mortgage size ($464,994) and West Virginia having the lowest ($150,245).

  6. Delinquencies and Foreclosures: The article also touches upon delinquency and foreclosure rates. As of August 2023, 1.2% of mortgages were seriously delinquent or in foreclosure, indicating that they were 90 days or more past due. The article also mentions that there were 144,880 new foreclosures in the 12 months ending on September 30, 2023.

These concepts provide valuable insights into the state of the mortgage market, the financial health of American households, and the factors that influence mortgage borrowing and repayment. By analyzing and understanding these concepts, individuals can make informed decisions regarding their mortgages and navigate the housing market more effectively.

Please note that the information provided is based on the specific article you shared, and additional context or data may be necessary for a comprehensive understanding of the mortgage industry.

Mortgage Statistics: 2024 | LendingTree (2024)

FAQs

What is the prediction for mortgage rates in 2024? ›

That means the mortgage rates will likely be in the 6% to 7% range for most of the year.” Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). MBA's baseline forecast is for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage to end 2024 at 6.1% and reach 5.5% at the end of 2025 as Treasury rates decline and the spread narrows.

Is the 28/36 rule realistic? ›

Since lenders look at a variety of factors, the 28/36 rule isn't necessarily a hard-and-fast mandate. When you consider how much property values have increased in recent years, even wages have stagnated, the rule may feel unrealistic.

Will my mortgage go up in 2024? ›

Inflation is anticipated to keep falling in 2024 and may reach the BoE's 2% target earlier than expected. As inflation has declined faster than expected this year, the BoE could start cutting the base rate in 2024 and possibly fall to 4% by the end of next year, according to data from private bank Berenberg.

Is 40% of income on a mortgage too much? ›

The 35% / 45% rule emphasizes that the borrower's total monthly debt shouldn't exceed more than 35% of their pretax income and also shouldn't exceed more than 45% of their post-tax income. To use the first part of this rule, you'll need to determine your gross monthly income before taxes and multiply it by 0.35.

Are mortgage rates expected to drop in 2024? ›

30-year mortgage rates are currently expected to fall to somewhere between 6.1% and 6.4% in 2024. Instead of waiting for rates to drop, homebuyers should consider buying now and refinancing later to avoid increased competition next year.

Is 2024 a good year to buy a house? ›

Bottom Line: Is 2024 a Good Time to Buy a House in California? Yes. This is the best time to buy a house in California. With the current trend in the CA housing market, you'll find better deals on your dream home during Q2 2024.

How much house can I afford if I make $70,000 a year? ›

If you make $70K a year, you can likely afford a home between $290,000 and $310,000*. Depending on your personal finances, that's a monthly house payment between $2,000 and $2,500. Keep in mind that figure will include your monthly mortgage payment, taxes, and insurance.

What is the golden rule for mortgage? ›

A household should spend a maximum of 28% of its gross monthly income on total housing expenses according to this rule, and no more than 36% on total debt service. This includes housing and other debt such as car loans and credit cards.

What is the golden rule for mortgage payments? ›

The 28/36 rule is a calculation that helps you know how large a mortgage you can afford. Lenders want your housing costs to be 28% or less of your income, and for all your expenses to be under 36% of your pay.

Where will mortgage rates be in 2025? ›

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Thursday was 6.99%. By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%.

Why isn't my mortgage going down? ›

As more of your principal is repaid, the less interest you owe on your mortgage. Monthly payments remain the same for the life of the loan for traditional fixed-rate loans, but the portion that goes toward interest will decline while the principal portion increases.

Why did my mortgage go up if I have a fixed-rate? ›

The benefit of a fixed-rate mortgage is that your interest rate stays consistent. But your monthly mortgage bill can still change — in fact, it generally fluctuates at least a little bit every year. Rising home values and insurance premiums have caused unusually dramatic increases for some homeowners in recent years.

Is it OK to spend 50% of income on mortgage? ›

It's generally advisable to keep your housing costs to 30% of your income or less. Spending 50% of your income on housing could cause you to fall behind on mortgage payments or other bills. If your non-housing expenses are notably low, then it may be OK to spend half of your pay on housing.

Is 50% of take home pay too much for a mortgage? ›

While the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) reports that banks will qualify mortgage amounts that are up to 43% of a borrower's monthly income, you might not want to take on that much debt. “You want to make sure that your monthly mortgage is no more than 28% of your gross monthly income,” says Reyes.

How much house can I afford with a 100K salary? ›

A $100K salary allows for a $350K to $500K house, following the 28% rule. Monthly home expenses would be around $2,300 with a down payment of 5% to 20%. The affordability of the house will vary based on financial factors and credit scores.

How high could mortgage rates go by 2025? ›

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Thursday was 6.99%. By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%.

What will mortgage interest rates be in 2026? ›

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to decline by 0.8 percent by 2026, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by 1.6 percent. From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

What will interest rates look like in 5 years? ›

ING's interest rate predictions indicate 2024 rates starting at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter. Then, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter of 2024. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.

Will interest rates go down in 2024 for cars? ›

Lower Auto Loan Rates Could Make 2024 a Good Time To Buy or Refinance. While market predictions are bullish on the funds rate — and by extension, auto loan rates — finally coming back down in 2024, it's still not a guarantee. Powell and others at the Fed remain committed to their target of 2% inflation.

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